Daily Market Update 07/12/2021


Main Headlines:

Private employers in New York will have to require their workers to get vaccinated against Covid, the mayor announced Monday in the most sweeping vaccine mandate of any state or big city in the US. The move by Mayor Bill de Blasio comes as cases are climbing again in the country and the worrisome but little-understood omicron variant is gaining a toehold in the nation’s largest city and elsewhere around the country. This time, workers who cannot provide proof they have received at least one dose of the vaccine, will not be allowed to get out of the requirement by agreeing to regular Covid testing instead. The measure will apply to roughly 184,000 businesses and 3.7 million people

UK consumers splashed the cash in November as Black Friday boosted sales of clothing, toys and jewellery and spending on bars and restaurants rose. Retail sales grew at an annual rate of 5% in November, up from 1.3% the previous month, according to data compiled by KPMG and the British Retail Consortium. The upbeat spending picture was confirmed by separate data from Barclaycard, which tracks nearly half of all UK credit and debit card transactions. Spending on payment cards in Britain rose 16% in November compared with the same period in 2019, reaching its highest level this year. A combination of early gift buying and festive outings had driven growth for the retail, hospitality and leisure sectors, showed data from Barclaycard.

Markets

GBP

The pound is well bid versus most majors this morning. The risk that Tesco will be severely hit by strike action in the crucial pre-Christmas period has escalated dramatically, after the number of distribution centres facing staff walkouts more than tripled to 13 – more than half the total. Britain’s biggest supermarket chain had been facing the prospect of strikes at four depots after members of the trade union Unite voted for industrial action in protest at an “offensive” below-inflation pay offer. Members of the retail workers’ union Usdaw followed suit on Monday, adding a further nine sites to the list of those that could be affected unless a deal can be reached. The union warned that Tesco could face “stock shortages” as a result.

EUR

The euro is higher than the dollar and lower than the pound overnight. German industrial output rose more than expected in October, even as supply bottlenecks for raw materials and intermediate goods continued to hamper production in Europe’s biggest economy. The Federal Statistics Office said industrial output was up 2.8% on the month after a revised decline of 0.5% in September. A Reuters poll had pointed to a rise of 0.8% in October. Karl Nehammer was sworn in Monday as Austria’s third chancellor in two months, capping a round of upheaval triggered by the decision last week of Sebastian Kurz, the country’s dominant political figure of recent years, to bow out of politics. Nehammer heads a coalition government with the Greens. It remains to be seen whether the alliance will hold until the next scheduled election in 2024.

USD

The dollar is lower than most majors in the early morning trade. President Biden is taking aim at the use of American real estate as a vehicle for laundering proceeds of government graft and transnational crime as part of the first-ever US strategy on countering corruption. The unveiling of the new five-point strategy and a proposed rulemaking to require more transparency in reporting of all-cash real estate transactions to “curb illicit finance” is part of a major White House push to make anti-corruption efforts a core mission of the administration and comes just days before President Biden will open the inaugural US-hosted “summit for democracy”. A US official said the release of Mr Biden’s new strategy “marks a new chapter” in US anti-corruption efforts.

 
Ballinger & Co. Morning Report- 07th December 2021

Today’s Rates

GBP>EUR – 1.1772

GBP>USD – 1.3252

EUR>USD – 1.1258

GBP>CAD – 1.6857

GBP>AUD – 1.8710

GBP>SEK – 12.044

GBP>AED – 4.8669

GBP>HKD – 10.335

GBP>ZAR – 21.169

GBP>CHF – 1.2259

Today’s Calendar           

·      8:00 a.m.: Germany Oct. industrial production

·      9:00 a.m.: Switzerland Nov. foreign currency reserves

·      11:00 a.m.: Germany Dec. ZEW economic survey

·      11:00 a.m.: Euro-area 3Q employment, GDP

·      11:00 a.m.: Euro-area Dec. ZEW economic survey expectations

·      Greek PM visits Russia to meet President Putin

·      Bank of Italy balance sheet report

·      API U.S. oil inventories

·      U.S. crude exports

·       EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook

Today’s Highlights

·       Forex Today: Risk-on mood at full steam amid easing Omicron fears, China stimulus

·       EUR/USD Outlook: Bears might still aim to challenge sub-1.1200 levels/ YTD low

·       GBP/USD consolidates the bounce below 1.33 amid upbeat mood

·       AUD/USD: Upbeat tone by the RBA to underpin the aussie – ING

 (https://frank-exchange.com/)

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