Main Headlines:
A committee in the US House of Representatives dedicated to investigating the assault on the US Capitol on January 6 issued six new subpoenas to allies of Trump. The subpoenaed individuals are accused of promoting misinformation about the 2020 presidential election, including the unfounded claim that the voting was rigged in favor of now-President Joe Biden and against Trump. Trump associates being subpoenaed include former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn, campaign manager Bill Stepien, former adviser Jason Miller, national executive assistant to the campaign Angela McCallum, and lawyer John Eastman. Bernard Kerik, a former NYC police commissioner who allegedly bought hotel rooms serving as “command centers”, was also hit with a subpoena.
PM Johnson has been accused of “running scared” of scrutiny over his botched attempt to neuter parliament’s independent standards system, after he dodged a House of Commons debate on sleaze. Johnson blamed a long-standing appointment to visit a hospital in the north-east for him missing a three-hour emergency debate, sparked by his effort to create a Tory-dominated committee to rewrite sleaze rules after an ally was found guilty of paid lobbying. Former minister Owen Paterson quit as an MP last week after the PM U-turned on his plan, which would have got him off the hook for a 30-day suspension recommended by a standards watchdog and given him the chance to appeal.
Markets
GBP
The pound is higher than the dollar and lower than the euro overnight. An industry consortium led by Rolls-Royce and the British taxpayer will jointly pump £405m into the development of a fleet of mini-reactors as part of a new push into nuclear power designed to help the government meet its net zero carbon targets. Rolls-Royce said it had secured funding from US energy company Exelon Generation and privately held BNF Resources. The three partners will invest a total of £195m in a new business, Rolls-Royce Small Modular Reactor, over three years. The funding will trigger a commitment of £210m from the government, which is due to be announced by business secretary Kwasi Kwarteng today.
EUR
The euro is well bid against most majors in the early morning trade. Representatives from EU countries have agreed that the EC will be the sole enforcer of new tech rules, with a limited role for national antitrust watchdogs instead of the wider powers sought for them. EU ministers will formally ratify the agreement on Nov. 25 as part of the bloc’s common position ahead of negotiations with EU lawmakers and the Commission on the draft rules known as the Digital Markets Act (DMA) before they can become law. The DMA, proposed by EU antitrust chief Margrethe Vestager last year, aim to curb the powers of Alphabet’s unit Google, Facebook, Apple and Amazon with a list of dos and don’ts.
USD
The dollar is lower than most majors this morning. The Federal Reserve warned in its semi-annual Financial Stability Report yesterday that stresses in the Chinese real estate sector “posed some risk to the US financial system”, pointing to heavily indebted property companies like Evergrande as a potential source of global contagion. On the domestic front, the Fed also warned that a “steep rise” in interest rates could lead to a “large” correction in risky assets, in addition to a reduction in housing demand that in turn could lead to lower home prices. Employment and investments could take a hit too as borrowing costs for business rose.
Ballinger & Co. Morning Report–09th November 2021
Today’s Rates
GBP>EUR – 1.1707
GBP>USD – 1.3563
EUR>USD – 1.1584
GBP>CAD – 1.6873
GBP>AUD – 1.8220
GBP>SEK – 11.610
GBP>AED – 4.9808
GBP>HKD – 10.564
GBP>ZAR – 20.244
GBP>CHF – 1.2393
Today’s Calendar
· EUR ECB’s President Lagarde speech
· USD Fed’s Chair Powell speech
· GBP BoE’s Governor Bailey speech
· CAD BoC’s Governor Macklem speech
Today’s Highlights
· Forex Today: Dollar on the back foot, eyes on EU sentiment, US PPI data and central bank speakers
· EUR/USD Forecast: Additional recovery gains likely if 1.1600 becomes support
· ECB’s Enria: Low interest rates are now hurting banks; issue to persist
· GBP/USD rises towards 1.3600 despite Brexit woes
This document has been prepared solely for information and is not intended as an Inducement concerning the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. By its nature market analysis represents the personal view of the author and no warranty can be, or is, offered as to the accuracy of any such analysis, or that predictions provided in any such analysis will prove to be correct. Should you rely on any analysis, information or report provided as part of the Service it does so entirely at its own risk, and Frank eXchange Limited/Manor House Foreign eXchange Limited accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage you may suffer as a result. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made as to their accuracy. No copy of this document can be taken without prior written permission.
